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Iron Ore to Steel Value Chain Economics — India (2024-2026)

Research compiled: March 2026 For: SeeUtkal economics chapter on Odisha’s mineral value chain


1. PRICE AT EACH STAGE (Rs per tonne, excl. GST unless noted)

Stage 1: Iron Ore (Mine-gate / Pit-mouth)

NMDC prices (FOR basis, inclusive of Royalty + DMF + NMET):

ProductGradeOct 2024Jun 2025Nov 2025Mar 2026
Lumps (Baila)65.5% Fe, 10-40mm6,3506,3005,6004,800
Fines (Baila)64% Fe, -10mm5,4105,3504,7504,050

Odisha mine-gate prices (ex-mine, merchant miners):

ProductGradePrice Range (Rs/t)Period
Fines55-58% Fe3,322 - 3,891Dec 2024 - Dec 2025
Fines58-60% Fe3,768Jan 2026
Fines60-62% Fe4,537Dec 2024
Fines62% Fe (index)5,300 - 5,750Oct - Dec 2025
ConcentrateAvg sale price3,643 - 3,651Sep - Oct 2025

OMC (Odisha Mining Corp) auction prices: Rs 3,150 - 5,800/t for fines (Fe 54-65%), Oct 2024

Sources: CEIC/Indian Bureau of Mines, BigMint, NMDC price notifications

Stage 2: Beneficiated Iron Ore / Concentrate

ProductPrice (Rs/t)Source
Iron ore concentrate (avg sale price, all-India)3,643 - 3,651Indian Bureau of Mines via CEIC, Sep-Oct 2025

Note: Beneficiation adds ~Rs 300-800/t in processing cost to upgrade low-grade fines (below 58% Fe) to 62-63% Fe concentrate. This is typically done via washing, jigging, or magnetic separation.

Stage 3: Iron Ore Pellets

LocationGradePrice (Rs/t)Period
Raipur (BigMint PELLEX index)Fe 63%9,700 DAPNov 2025
Raipur (producer offers)Fe 63/63.5%9,850 - 9,900Oct 2025
Raipur (Ayron Mart)25,500Mar 2026
Raigarh25,100Mar 2026
Durgapur26,400Mar 2026
Bellary27,400Mar 2026
Hyderabad27,900Mar 2026

IMPORTANT NOTE: There is a significant discrepancy between the BigMint PELLEX index (Rs 9,700/t, Nov 2025) and the Ayron Mart quotes (Rs 25,000-28,000/t, Mar 2026). The BigMint figure likely reflects ex-works/ex-plant pricing for bulk contracts of standard-grade pellets, while the Ayron Mart figures may include higher-grade pellets, transport, and trader margins — or possibly reflect a different pellet specification. The BigMint PELLEX figure of ~Rs 9,700-10,000/t is more consistent with industry cost economics and should be used as the benchmark for bulk pellet pricing.

Stage 4: Sponge Iron / DRI (Direct Reduced Iron)

LocationPrice (Rs/t)Period
Raipur22,900 (low) / 27,500Apr-Sep 2025 / Mar 2026
Raigarh26,800Mar 2026
Rourkela (Odisha)27,100Mar 2026
Durgapur28,600Mar 2026
Mandi Gobindgarh32,500Mar 2026
Bellary27,800Mar 2026
Jaipur32,300Mar 2026

Benchmark (Raipur, Mar 2026): Rs 27,500/t

Stage 5: Pig Iron

LocationGradePrice (Rs/t)Period
Rourkela (Odisha)Steel grade36,900Mar 2026
RaipurSteel grade37,200Mar 2026
BokaroSteel grade37,200Mar 2026
DurgapurSteel grade37,500Mar 2026
RaigarhSteel grade37,900Mar 2026
Mandi GobindgarhSteel grade41,600Mar 2026
LudhianaSteel grade39,600Mar 2026
DurgapurFoundry grade41,500Mar 2026
Mandi GobindgarhFoundry grade42,000Mar 2026
LudhianaFoundry grade43,000Mar 2026
Delhi46,020Apr 2025
Kolkata42,730Apr 2025

Benchmark (Raipur steel grade, Mar 2026): Rs 37,200/t

Stage 6: Crude Steel / Billets / Ingots

Billets (Mar 2026):

LocationPrice (Rs/t)
Rourkela (proxy: ingot)38,800
Raipur40,800
Raigarh39,950
Durgapur40,600
Kolkata41,600
Mumbai44,250
Chennai45,750
Ahmedabad44,700
Ludhiana44,600

Benchmark (Raipur, Mar 2026): Rs 40,800/t

Ingots (Mar 2026):

LocationPrice (Rs/t)
Rourkela38,800
Raipur40,300
Raigarh39,600
Durgapur39,900
Mumbai43,650

Stage 7: Hot Rolled Coil (HRC)

LocationPrice (Rs/t)Period
Kolkata53,600Mar 2026
Ludhiana56,500Mar 2026
Delhi56,500Mar 2026
Jaipur56,500Mar 2026
Hyderabad56,500Mar 2026
Ghaziabad57,000Mar 2026
Ahmedabad57,500Mar 2026
Chennai57,800Mar 2026

4QFY26 avg HRC price: Rs 52,860/t (up 12% over 3Q avg of Rs 47,100/t)

Benchmark (all-India avg, Mar 2026): Rs 55,000-57,000/t

Stage 8: Cold Rolled Coil (CRC)

LocationPrice (Rs/t)Period
Kolkata59,000Mar 2026
Jaipur61,500Mar 2026
Delhi62,800Mar 2026
Ludhiana63,100Mar 2026
Hyderabad63,300Mar 2026
Ahmedabad64,600Mar 2026
Mumbai65,000Mar 2026
Ghaziabad66,000Mar 2026

Benchmark (all-India avg, Mar 2026): Rs 62,000-65,000/t

Stage 9: Galvanized / Coated Steel

ProductPrice (Rs/t)Source
GPSP (Galv. Skin Pass) sheets60,000 - 76,500IndiaMART/supplier quotes, 2024-2025

Stage 10: Auto-grade / Specialty Steel

ProductPrice (Rs/t)Period
Electrical steel (CRGO) — India~1,70,000 (USD 2,016/MT)Q4 2025
CRGO range globally1,26,000 - 12,60,000 ($1.50-$15.00/kg)2025

Auto-grade steel (high-strength, dual-phase, etc.) typically commands 20-50% premium over standard CRC, placing it in the Rs 75,000 - 95,000/t range.


2. THE VALUE MULTIPLIER

Using Raipur/Odisha-proximate prices (Mar 2026, excl. GST):

StageProductRs/tonneMultiplier vs Ore
1Iron ore fines (62% Fe, ex-mine Odisha)5,0001.0x
2Iron ore concentrate3,650 (lower grade input)
3Iron ore pellets (Fe 63%)9,700 - 10,0002.0x
4Sponge iron / DRI27,5005.5x
5Pig iron (steel grade)37,2007.4x
6Billets / crude steel40,8008.2x
7HRC (hot rolled coil)55,00011.0x
8CRC (cold rolled coil)63,00012.6x
9Galvanized steel70,00014.0x
10CRGO electrical steel1,70,00034.0x

The headline number: Rs 5,000 ore becomes Rs 55,000 HRC = 11x value multiplier.

If we use the NMDC Mar 2026 fines price (Rs 4,050/t) as the base:

  • HRC at Rs 55,000 = 13.6x multiplier
  • CRC at Rs 63,000 = 15.6x multiplier

Using lower-grade fines (55-58% Fe) at ~Rs 3,500/t:

  • HRC at Rs 55,000 = 15.7x multiplier

3. KEY PROCESSING STAGES

Stage 1: Mining & Extraction

  • Open-cast mining of iron ore (hematite in Odisha/Jharkhand)
  • Crushing and screening to separate lumps (10-40mm) from fines (<10mm)
  • India’s iron ore: primarily hematite, found in Odisha, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Karnataka

Stage 2: Beneficiation

  • Upgrading low-grade ore (below 58% Fe) to higher Fe content (62-64%)
  • Processes: washing, jigging, magnetic separation, flotation
  • Converts waste fines into usable concentrate
  • Critical for Odisha where much ore is sub-58% Fe

Stage 3: Pelletization

  • Concentrate ground to fine powder, mixed with binder (bentonite)
  • Formed into 9-16mm spherical pellets
  • Fired in induration furnace at 1,200-1,350 deg C
  • Product: uniform-size, high-Fe pellets ideal for blast furnace or DRI

Stage 4a: Blast Furnace (BF-BOF route)

  • Iron ore + coke + limestone charged into blast furnace
  • Hot air blown in, coke burns, reduces ore to liquid iron (hot metal / pig iron)
  • Pig iron tapped, sent to Basic Oxygen Furnace (BOF)
  • BOF blows pure oxygen to convert pig iron to crude steel
  • 43% of India’s steel made via BF-BOF

Stage 4b: Direct Reduction (DRI-EAF route)

  • Iron ore (lumps or pellets) reduced using coal or natural gas in rotary kiln
  • Produces sponge iron (DRI) — solid-state reduction, no melting
  • DRI melted in Electric Arc Furnace (EAF) or Induction Furnace (IF)
  • India is world’s largest DRI producer; 80%+ is coal-based
  • Dominant route for smaller producers in Odisha, Chhattisgarh

Stage 5: Rolling — Hot Rolling

  • Steel slabs/billets reheated to 1,100-1,250 deg C
  • Passed through series of rollers to reduce thickness
  • Produces HRC (Hot Rolled Coil), plates, bars, structural sections
  • HRC thickness: typically 1.6-25mm

Stage 6: Rolling — Cold Rolling

  • HRC further rolled at room temperature
  • Produces thinner gauge (0.15-3.0mm), better surface finish
  • Higher dimensional precision
  • Used for auto body panels, appliances, packaging

Stage 7: Coating / Finishing

  • Galvanizing (zinc coating), tin plating, colour coating
  • Produces GP/GC, tinplate, colour-coated sheets
  • Adds corrosion resistance and aesthetic value

4. RAW MATERIAL CONSUMPTION PER TONNE OF STEEL

InputQuantity per tonne of crude steel
Iron ore~1.7 tonnes
Coking coal (BF-BOF)~0.8 tonnes
Non-coking coal (DRI)~1.2 tonnes per tonne of sponge iron
Limestone/flux~0.3 tonnes

Input costs for 1 tonne of crude steel (BF-BOF route, approx.):

  • Iron ore: 1.7t x Rs 5,000/t = Rs 8,500
  • Coking coal (imported): 0.8t x Rs 16,000-25,000/t ($190-300/t) = Rs 12,800-20,000
  • Other inputs (limestone, ferro-alloys, energy, labour): Rs 8,000-12,000
  • Total production cost: Rs 30,000-40,000/t crude steel

Input costs for DRI route:

  • Iron ore: 1.5-1.7t x Rs 5,000/t = Rs 7,500-8,500
  • Non-coking coal: 1.2t x Rs 9,400/t (SA RB2 grade) = Rs 11,280
  • Power & other costs: Rs 5,000-8,000
  • Total sponge iron production cost: Rs 22,000-27,000/t

5. ENERGY CONSUMPTION AT EACH STAGE

StageEnergy (GJ/tonne)Notes
Beneficiation0.1 - 0.3Crushing, grinding, separation
Pelletization (hematite)1.4 - 1.7Induration/firing dominant
Pelletization (magnetite)0.6 - 0.8Exothermic oxidation reduces fuel need
Sintering~2.010% of total steel industry energy; 78% from coke breeze
BF ironmaking~12.0 - 14.0Largest energy consumer in value chain
BOF steelmaking~0.5 - 1.0Exothermic process; net energy producer with gas recovery
DRI (coal-based)~14.0 - 17.0Includes coal energy
EAF steelmaking~2.0 - 2.5Electricity: 664-825 kWh/t
Hot rolling~2.0 - 2.5Reheating furnace dominant
Cold rolling~1.0 - 1.5Lower temperature process

Total energy intensity:

  • BF-BOF route (global avg): ~24.2 GJ/t crude steel
  • DRI-EAF route (global avg): ~23.1 GJ/t crude steel
  • India-specific: 6.0-6.5 Gcal/t (~25-27 GJ/t) vs. global best of 4.5-5.0 Gcal/t (~19-21 GJ/t)

India’s higher energy intensity driven by: lower-grade domestic coal, smaller plant sizes, older technology in many units.


6. CAPEX (Capital Expenditure) AT EACH STAGE

Pellet Plant

  • JSPL (Angul, Odisha): Rs 1,200-1,400 crore for 7 MTPA = Rs 170-200 crore per MTPA
  • Essar (Paradeep, Odisha): Rs 6,000 crore for integrated complex (beneficiation + 6 MTPA pellet plant + 253km slurry pipeline) — pellet plant share approx. Rs 150-200 crore/MTPA

Sponge Iron / DRI Plant

  • Coal-based (India): ~Rs 35 crore for 350 TPD (~127,000 TPA) = ~Rs 275 crore per MTPA (small scale)
  • Gas-based DRI (global): ~$263.5/t capacity = ~Rs 2,200 crore per MTPA
  • Hydrogen-based DRI: ~$685/t capacity = ~Rs 5,700 crore per MTPA

Integrated Steel Plant (Greenfield)

Based on recent Indian announcements:

  • JSW (Gadchiroli, Maharashtra): Rs 1,00,000 crore / 25 MTPA = Rs 4,000 crore per MTPA
  • JSW (Jagatsinghpur, Odisha): Rs 65,000 crore / 13.2 MTPA = Rs 4,924 crore per MTPA
  • ArcelorMittal Nippon (Anakapalle, AP): Rs 1,50,000 crore / 24 MTPA = Rs 6,250 crore per MTPA
  • Range: Rs 4,000 - 6,250 crore per MTPA for greenfield integrated

Hot Strip Mill (Rolling)

  • Global average: US$ 187 per tonne of annual capacity (~Rs 15.6 crore per MTPA at Rs 84/$)
  • Average total cost: US$ 506 million for ~2.93 MTPA capacity

Recent CAPEX Plans (FY2025-26)

  • Tata Steel: Rs 15,000 crore capex (80% in India) — expansion + modernization
  • SAIL: Rs 7,500 crore capex for FY26 (25% increase YoY)
  • JSW Steel: Rs 47,457 crore over 3 years (announced 2021)

7. TAXES, ROYALTIES, AND STATUTORY LEVIES ON IRON ORE

LevyRateBasis
Royalty15%Ad valorem (of average sale price)
DMF (District Mineral Foundation)30% of royaltyi.e., 4.5% of sale price
NMET (Nat’l Mineral Exploration Trust)2% of royaltyi.e., 0.3% of sale price
Total statutory burden~19.8%Of average sale price

For auctioned mines, the premium paid in auction is ADDITIONAL to the above.

Example: On ore priced at Rs 5,000/t, statutory levies = ~Rs 990/t.


8. COKING COAL PRICES (Key Input)

SourcePricePeriod
Imported (Australian, FOB)$320-330/tQ1 CY2024
Imported (avg)$197/tEarly 2025
Landed cost India (approx.)Rs 16,000-25,000/t2024-2025 range

India imports ~85% of its coking coal requirement. Domestic coking coal is high-ash, requires washing.


9. KEY FINANCIAL METRICS — MAJOR PRODUCERS

NMDC (FY2024)

  • Production: 45.02 MT iron ore
  • Revenue: Rs 22,679 crore
  • EBITDA: Rs 8,709 crore
  • Implied realization: ~Rs 5,093/t
  • Operating margin: 32.9% (down from 41.3% in FY23)
  • Cost of production (implied): ~Rs 3,400/t (very rough estimate from margin data)

JSW Steel (FY2024)

  • Operating profit: Rs 11,395/MT (up from Rs 8,284/MT in FY23)
  • 37% captive iron ore supply (target: 50%)

India Steel Industry

  • Installed crude steel capacity (Odisha): 45.5 MTPA in 2024-25 (up from 41.2 MTPA in 2023-24); ~23% of India’s total (Survey Ch. 5 §5.3.39); historical baseline 33 MTPA (2020-21); target 100 MTPA by 2030 (Survey Ch. 5 §5.3.38)
  • Odisha steel production: 29.6 MTPA in 2024-25 (up from 27.3 MTPA in 2023-24) (Survey Ch. 5 §5.3.39)
  • National per capita steel consumption: 86.7 kg (target: 160 kg by 2030-31)
  • CO2 intensity: 2.54 tCO2/t crude steel (vs. global avg 1.91)

10. THE ODISHA STORY — VALUE LEAKAGE

What leaves Odisha as raw material:

  • Iron ore fines at Rs 3,500-5,000/t

What it could become if processed in-state:

  • Pellets at Rs 9,700/t (2x)
  • Sponge iron at Rs 27,000/t (5-7x)
  • Billets at Rs 40,000/t (8-10x)
  • HRC at Rs 55,000/t (11-14x)
  • CRC at Rs 63,000/t (13-16x)
  • Auto-grade steel at Rs 80,000+/t (16-20x)
  • CRGO electrical steel at Rs 1,70,000/t (34x+)

The 11x-to-14x gap from ore to HRC is the core economic argument for in-state processing.

Odisha produces 55% of India’s iron ore in 2024-25 (Survey Ch. 5 §5.3.36) — 178.99 million tonnes in absolute terms (Survey Ch. 5 §5.6.5). Much of it still leaves as raw ore or low-value fines.


SOURCES

NMDC Pricing

Odisha Iron Ore

Pellets

Sponge Iron / DRI

Pig Iron

Steel (HRC, CRC, Billets)

CAPEX

Energy

Royalty & Regulation

Value Chain Analysis

Electrical / Specialty Steel

Cited in

The narrative series that build on this research.